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"W" 06-01-2009 05:57 PM

2009 hurricane predictions, plus storm names
 
2009 hurricane forecast

How and if global warming influences hurricane formation is still a matter of genuine scientific debate. In recent years, scientists have at least identified several factors -- from the extent of rainfall in Africa to the presence or absence of El Nino conditions in the Pacific -- that help them predict the intensity of a hurricane season ahead of time. Here's what the two most prominent forecasters have to say:
The federal government has predicted a "near normal" hurricane season for the Atlantic with a 25% chance of above-normal outbreaks and 25% chance of below-normal outbreaks -- though overall, forecasters expressed a greater degree of uncertainty this year than they have in past years.
The National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration's predicts a 70% chance of:
  • Named storms: 9-14
  • Hurricanes: 4-7
  • Major hurricanes: 1-3
The other major forecaster in the U.S., the University of Colorado, recently revised down its expectations for the 2009 Atlantic hurricane season:
  • Named storms: 12
  • Hurricanes: 6
  • Major hurricanes: 2
Further, the Colorado forecasters predicted the following probabilities that a major hurricane could strike the U.S., all of which are about average for the past century:
  • Entire U.S. coastline: 54%
  • U.S. East Coast (including peninsula Florida): 32%
  • Gulf Coast (from the Florida Panhandle westward to Brownsville, Texas): 31%
  • Caribbean: Average
Forecasters warn that the number of storms and their intensity is only one key determinant of risk of property damage and loss of life: The biggest factor is who lives in harm's way and how well they prepare. Some 35 million U.S. residents live in hurricane-prone regions, and experts urge them to prepare.
When those storms do come, they will be given names. Tropical cyclones are given names when they achieve tropical storm strength, with sustained winds of at least 39 mph. Hurricanes are tropical storms that have sustained winds that exceed 74 mph, and major hurricanes have sustained winds that exceed 111 mph.
Here are the tropical storm and hurricane names for 2009:


2009 hurricane and tropical storm names - Atlantic
  1. Ana
  2. Bill
  3. Claudette
  4. Danny
  5. Erika
  6. Fred
  7. Grace
  8. Henri
  9. Ida
  10. Joaquin
  11. Kate
  12. Larry
  13. Mindy
  14. Nicholas
  15. Odette
  16. Peter
  17. Rose
  18. Sam
  19. Teresa
  20. Victor
  21. "W"

CatDaddy 06-01-2009 06:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by W";10544]2009 hurricane forecast

How and if global warming influences hurricane formation is still a matter of genuine scientific debate. In recent years, scientists have at least identified several factors -- from the extent of rainfall in Africa to the presence or absence of El Nino conditions in the Pacific -- that help them predict the intensity of a hurricane season ahead of time. Here's what the two most prominent forecasters have to say:
The federal government has predicted a "near normal" hurricane season for the Atlantic with a 25% chance of above-normal outbreaks and 25% chance of below-normal outbreaks -- though overall, forecasters expressed a greater degree of uncertainty this year than they have in past years.

The National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration's [URL="http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories2009/20090521_atlantichurricane.html
predicts[/URL] a 70% chance of:
  • Named storms: 9-14
  • Hurricanes: 4-7
  • Major hurricanes: 1-3
The other major forecaster in the U.S., the University of Colorado, recently revised down its expectations for the 2009 Atlantic hurricane season:
  • Named storms: 12
  • Hurricanes: 6
  • Major hurricanes: 2
Further, the Colorado forecasters predicted the following probabilities that a major hurricane could strike the U.S., all of which are about average for the past century:
  • Entire U.S. coastline: 54%
  • U.S. East Coast (including peninsula Florida): 32%
  • Gulf Coast (from the Florida Panhandle westward to Brownsville, Texas): 31%
  • Caribbean: Average
Forecasters warn that the number of storms and their intensity is only one key determinant of risk of property damage and loss of life: The biggest factor is who lives in harm's way and how well they prepare. Some 35 million U.S. residents live in hurricane-prone regions, and experts urge them to prepare.
When those storms do come, they will be given names. Tropical cyclones are given names when they achieve tropical storm strength, with sustained winds of at least 39 mph. Hurricanes are tropical storms that have sustained winds that exceed 74 mph, and major hurricanes have sustained winds that exceed 111 mph.
Here are the tropical storm and hurricane names for 2009:


2009 hurricane and tropical storm names - Atlantic
  1. Ana
  2. Bill
  3. [SIZE=4]CatDaddy[/SIZE]
  4. Danny
  5. Erika
  6. Fred
  7. Grace
  8. Henri
  9. Ida
  10. Joaquin
  11. Kate
  12. Larry
  13. Mindy
  14. Nicholas
  15. Odette
  16. Peter
  17. Rose
  18. Sam
  19. Teresa
  20. Victor
  21. "W"

:*****::rotfl:

huntin fool 06-01-2009 06:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by W";10544]2009 hurricane forecast

How and if global warming influences hurricane formation is still a matter of genuine scientific debate. In recent years, scientists have at least identified several factors -- from the extent of rainfall in Africa to the presence or absence of El Nino conditions in the Pacific -- that help them predict the intensity of a hurricane season ahead of time. Here's what the two most prominent forecasters have to say:
The federal government has predicted a "near normal" hurricane season for the Atlantic with a 25% chance of above-normal outbreaks and 25% chance of below-normal outbreaks -- though overall, forecasters expressed a greater degree of uncertainty this year than they have in past years.

The National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration's [URL="http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories2009/20090521_atlantichurricane.html
predicts[/URL] a 70% chance of:
  • Named storms: 9-14
  • Hurricanes: 4-7
  • Major hurricanes: 1-3
The other major forecaster in the U.S., the University of Colorado, recently revised down its expectations for the 2009 Atlantic hurricane season:
  • Named storms: 12
  • Hurricanes: 6
  • Major hurricanes: 2
Further, the Colorado forecasters predicted the following probabilities that a major hurricane could strike the U.S., all of which are about average for the past century:
  • Entire U.S. coastline: 54%
  • U.S. East Coast (including peninsula Florida): 32%
  • Gulf Coast (from the Florida Panhandle westward to Brownsville, Texas): 31%
  • Caribbean: Average
Forecasters warn that the number of storms and their intensity is only one key determinant of risk of property damage and loss of life: The biggest factor is who lives in harm's way and how well they prepare. Some 35 million U.S. residents live in hurricane-prone regions, and experts urge them to prepare.
When those storms do come, they will be given names. Tropical cyclones are given names when they achieve tropical storm strength, with sustained winds of at least 39 mph. Hurricanes are tropical storms that have sustained winds that exceed 74 mph, and major hurricanes have sustained winds that exceed 111 mph.
Here are the tropical storm and hurricane names for 2009:


2009 hurricane and tropical storm names - Atlantic
  1. Ana
  2. Bill
  3. Claudette
  4. Danny
  5. Erika
  6. Fool
  7. Grace
  8. Henri
  9. Ida
  10. Joaquin
  11. Kate
  12. Larry
  13. Mindy
  14. Nicholas
  15. Odette
  16. Peter
  17. Rose
  18. Sam
  19. Teresa
  20. Victor
  21. "W"


:*****:

Big Lake Blondie 06-01-2009 08:39 PM

So hurricane Cat, W, and fool gonna take everybody out???? :*****::*****::*****: Or just the Texans???:*****::rotfl::*****::rotfl::*****: We know where Hurricane W would head...

huntin fool 06-01-2009 08:41 PM

hurricane Fool is expected to head for N.O again i heard :)

CatDaddy 06-01-2009 08:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by huntin fool (Post 10638)
hurricane Fool is expected to head for N.O again i heard :)


well Fool, ya wasting ya time, cause hurricane CATDADDY is gonna take care of that first chance it gets. it will sit on that place for about a week... its gonna be one of those quadruple entry hurricanes. and its also gonna hit all the "obama concentrations" in south Louisiana.... None if the McCain supporters will be effected..

Big Lake Blondie 06-01-2009 08:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by huntin fool (Post 10638)
hurricane Fool is expected to head for N.O again i heard :)

Bring back drinks for everyone while you out that way! :grinpimp:

Big Lake Blondie 06-01-2009 08:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CatDaddy (Post 10652)
well Fool, ya wasting ya time, cause hurricane CATDADDY is gonna take care of that first chance it gets. it will sit on that place for about a week... its gonna be one of those quadruple entry hurricanes. and its also gonna hit all the "obama concentrations" in south Louisiana.... None if the McCain supporters will be effected..

Don't destroy N.O....Just flush out the idiots...Where will I vacay to??? No more Pat O's??? Just shoot me in the head, why don't ya!!! :p:*****::*****::*****:

CatDaddy 06-01-2009 08:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Big Lake Blondie (Post 10654)
Don't destroy N.O....Just flush out the idiots...Where will I vacay to??? No more Pat O's??? Just shoot me in the head, why don't ya!!! :p:*****::*****::*****:


Well yea blondie... Cadtdaddy will only take out what needs to be taken out.....

yak'em-n-stack'em 06-01-2009 09:04 PM

ahhhhh Al Gore and his Global warming commies.

does anyone actually agree with him?

I am an environmental major and have a minor in oceanography and disasters and can tell you there is no such thing.

THere IS global climate change...but not warming

Big Lake Blondie 06-01-2009 09:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CatDaddy (Post 10660)
Well yea blondie... Cadtdaddy will only take out what needs to be taken out.....

Ok, well...Destroy on!

"W" 06-01-2009 09:08 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Big Lake Blondie (Post 10637)
So hurricane Cat, W, and fool gonna take everybody out???? :*****::*****::*****: Or just the Texans???:*****::rotfl::*****::rotfl::*****: We know where Hurricane W would head...


I would sit there a few DAYS:rotfl:

Big Lake Blondie 06-01-2009 09:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by "W" (Post 10685)
I would sit there a few DAYS:rotfl:

You'd make a vacation out of it...:*****::*****::*****:

Reverend Redfish 06-01-2009 09:16 PM

Hurricane Redfish would head straight for Washington DC.

redfishman 06-02-2009 05:16 PM

I like the avatar Rev!!!!


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